Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00265756           1           1          57          35           6        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00140576           1           1          58          33           7        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   8.84744e-07           1           0          47          47           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =       87.0000           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             0.25        0.75       57.50       35.75        5.75     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      X1.9