Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263191           1           1          58          35           5        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139397           1           1          58          34           6        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   7.53703e-07           1           0          48          43           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =       101.000           1           1          67          26           5        C5.5
 
together                             0.75        1.00       57.75       34.50        6.00     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4