Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00262446           1           1          62          32           4        C6.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00136984           1           1          59          33           6        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   7.17341e-07           1           0          55          35           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =       120.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        0.75       57.00       35.25        6.50     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5