Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00264893           1           1          56          36           6        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00146989           1           2          59          34           4        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   6.52480e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C8.4
est. ISN   =       119.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        1.00       57.00       35.75        5.75     C7.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6