Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00265433           1           1          56          36           6        C7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00150301           1           3          67          27           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   6.17785e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.4
est. ISN   =       123.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.25        1.25       60.50       33.50        4.50     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1