Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00270506           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00161364           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   6.71387e-07           1           0          60          33           6        C8.2
est. ISN   =       118.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        0.75       59.25       33.75        5.50     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C6.0