Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00272801           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00164763           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   6.93821e-07           1           0          56          36           7        C8.5
est. ISN   =       113.000           1           0          55          36           8        C8.4
 
together                             0.75        0.75       59.25       33.25        6.00     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.4