Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00276442           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00176940           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   6.59626e-07           1           0          60          33           6        C8.4
est. ISN   =       113.000           1           0          55          36           8        C8.4
 
together                             0.75        0.75       60.25       32.50        5.75     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6