Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00280221           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00181367           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   7.34346e-07           1           0          50          40           9        C9.9
est. ISN   =       114.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        0.75       56.75       35.50        6.25     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2