Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00264208           1           1          56          36           6        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00160458           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.61572e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.3
est. ISN   =       95.0000           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             0.75        0.75       66.50       27.75        4.25     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1