Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00259990           1           2          59          35           3        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00154353           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.84684e-07           2           1          68          28           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.00        1.50       67.00       28.25        2.25     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1