Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257586           1           2          60          36           1        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00153811           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.18290e-07           1           2          81          14           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             0.25        2.00       68.75       26.25        2.75     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9