Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255205           1           3          62          33           1        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00146755           1           2          57          35           5        C6.1
GOES Xray  =   4.24168e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       110.000           1           0          57          35           7        C8.3
 
together                             0.25        2.00       64.25       29.75        3.75     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3