Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255171           1           3          62          33           1        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00147891           1           2          60          34           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.34845e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       91.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             0.25        2.25       69.50       25.25        2.75     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5