Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00256319           1           3          62          33           1        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00151165           1           4          66          27           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   3.91749e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =       86.0000           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             0.75        2.75       66.00       28.00        2.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4