Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00266325           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00171724           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.76305e-07           3           1          71          24           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =       92.0000           1           0          76          18           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.50        1.00       68.00       25.75        3.75     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8