Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00273116           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00178642           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.91696e-07           1           0          69          28           2        C6.5
est. ISN   =       86.0000           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             0.75        0.75       64.00       30.25        4.25     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4