Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00271822           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00177626           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.94137e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.4
est. ISN   =       85.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             0.75        1.00       63.25       30.75        4.25     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7