Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00272185           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00177280           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.74778e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       103.000           1           1          66          28           4        C5.5
 
together                             0.75        1.00       65.50       28.75        4.00     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3