Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00270418           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00175877           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.48640e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.0
est. ISN   =       108.000           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             0.50        1.00       63.75       30.00        4.75     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.8