Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00267606           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00175285           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.57907e-07           2           1          79          17           1        C4.1
est. ISN   =       101.000           1           1          67          26           5        C5.5
 
together                             1.25        1.25       67.75       26.00        3.75     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)