Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00265581           1           1          57          35           6        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00174594           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.56824e-07           2           1          79          16           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.25        1.00       69.25       25.25        3.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7