Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263007           1           1          61          33           4        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00169581           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.35932e-07           1           2          81          14           2        C3.4
est. ISN   =       68.0000           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.00        3.25       69.50       24.00        2.25     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6