Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00265578           1           1          56          36           6        C7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00168743           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.83419e-07           2           1          69          27           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             2.25        4.50       63.25       27.25        2.75     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      B9.7