Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00265192           1           1          56          36           6        C7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00164779           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.42758e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             0.75        5.25       65.50       25.50        3.00     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7