Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263708           1           1          58          35           5        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00165599           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.72806e-07           2           1          74          22           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             1.50        5.75       65.75       25.00        2.00     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.8