Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00267906           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00165991           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   7.75968e-07           1           0          51          41           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             0.75        5.25       60.50       29.25        4.25     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C7.5