Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252268           2           4          66          25           3        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00149128           1           2          63          31           3        C5.5
GOES Xray  =   2.94426e-07           3          22          66           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       38.0000           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             2.75       19.75       58.00       18.00        1.50     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3