Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247571           1           4          51          39           5        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00142183           1           1          57          35           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.56279e-07           1          30          60           9           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             1.00       12.75       59.25       24.00        3.00     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      B5.0