Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246272           1           3          56          37           3        C6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00138177           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.51306e-07           3          34          54           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       60.0000           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             1.50       14.25       57.50       24.50        2.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2