Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249408           3           3          59          27           8        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00142155           1           1          57          35           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.18243e-07           4          10          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =       67.0000           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.00        5.50       64.50       24.25        3.75     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9