Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00256173           1           3          62          33           1        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00149102           1           2          63          31           3        C5.5
GOES Xray  =   4.39144e-07           1           2          83          13           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =       72.0000           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             0.50        3.50       65.50       28.25        2.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C6.2