Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257035           1           3          60          35           1        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00150356           1           3          67          27           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.22812e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       56.0000           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             0.50        7.25       67.25       23.50        1.50     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2