Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00261573           1           2          60          33           4        C6.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00157584           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.04223e-07           2           1          62          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.00        3.75       63.50       28.50        2.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      M4.0