Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263067           1           1          59          35           4        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00163177           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.22224e-07           2           0          65          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       73.0000           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        2.25       61.75       31.50        3.25     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C7.2