Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00265159           1           1          56          36           6        C7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00162831           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   5.75376e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.4
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             0.75        3.25       61.00       31.25        3.75     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.0