Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253255           1           5          66          27           1        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00145490           1           2          57          34           6        C6.1
GOES Xray  =   3.83463e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             1.75        6.75       65.00       24.25        2.25     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4