Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00254538           1           4          65          30           0        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00142783           1           2          58          33           6        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   4.10873e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       57.0000           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             0.75        7.25       66.00       23.75        2.25     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4