Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253001           2           6          64          27           1        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00142370           1           1          58          34           6        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   3.72336e-07           1           4          78          17           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.00        4.25       66.25       25.50        3.00     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5