Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00260246           1           2          60          34           3        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00141303           1           1          58          34           6        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.63470e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.1
est. ISN   =       70.0000           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             0.25        2.00       64.25       29.75        3.75     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6