Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257856           1           1          63          33           2        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00140731           1           1          59          33           6        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.97258e-07           2           1          62          35           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =       64.0000           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             1.50        4.00       60.50       31.50        2.50     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9