Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251377           2           4          67          24           3        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00126380           2           2          64          28           4        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   4.43868e-07           1           1          83          14           1        C3.8
est. ISN   =       32.0000           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             2.25       13.25       63.00       19.50        2.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3