Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253184           2           5          65          27           1        C5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00130026           1           0          64          31           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.67678e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.25        8.50       66.00       21.50        1.75     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2