Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00267943           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00145733           1           2          57          34           6        C6.1
GOES Xray  =   9.32717e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =       95.0000           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             0.75        1.00       57.00       34.50        6.75     C7.1
 
realized                                                                                      C6.5