Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252535           2           5          66          24           3        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00133624           1           0          60          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   4.68130e-07           2           1          76          20           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =       67.0000           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             1.50        3.25       67.50       25.00        2.75     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      C7.1