Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250322           3           2          68          21           6        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124962           2           2          66          26           4        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   5.80569e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50        5.25       66.25       23.50        3.50     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5