Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248692           2           3          58          29           8        C6.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122856           1           2          62          32           3        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   4.71322e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.25        7.25       64.25       22.75        3.50     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)