Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253138           2           6          64          27           1        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00126313           2           2          62          30           4        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   5.98571e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       30.0000           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             2.25       13.50       58.50       23.75        2.00     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.9