Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249667           3           2          65          23           7        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124693           2           2          66          26           4        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   5.32448e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.00       12.00       60.00       21.25        3.75     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      X1.7