Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227975           3          33          56           8           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000916826           3          25          52          17           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   2.28240e-07           4          37          50           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       61.0000           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             3.25       27.50       54.75       13.25        1.25     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0